Yellowdogtexan
06-21-2008, 07:34 AM
As I mention on the Camp Obama thread, Georgia is one of the states where the Obama campaign is spending money on its first general election ad buy. With some help from Bob Barr, Georgia may well be in play. http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/06/poll_presidential_race_a_dead.phpIn a further sign of just how wide the political playing field is set to be this fall, a new poll finds that Barack Obama may well be able to win Georgia, a state that voted twice for George W. Bush and by healthy margins.
The numbers from InsiderAdvantage: McCain 44%, Obama 43%, within the ±5% margin of error. Some key numbers: Bob Barr, the former right-wing Georgia Congressman turned Libertarian nominee, is getting six-percent support, which otherwise would have probably gone to McCain. Also, InsiderAdvantage estimates that blacks will make up 29% of the electorate, up from 25% in 2004 exit polling
See also http://www.blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/06/20/georgia-on-his-mind.aspxCould Obama actually, you know, win Georgia? Believe it or not, it's possible--if not yet likely. Ultimately, his performance depends on the two B's: Bob Barr and black voters. A former four-term Republican congressman from the Atlanta suburbs, Barr's been a known quantity in Georgia for two decades; now, as the Libertarian Party's nominee for president, he's guaranteed to sap a sizable number of votes from McCain, who lost the state's February primary to Mike Huckabee and inspires little enthusiasm among its largely Evangelical Republican base.This will be a fun state to watch
The numbers from InsiderAdvantage: McCain 44%, Obama 43%, within the ±5% margin of error. Some key numbers: Bob Barr, the former right-wing Georgia Congressman turned Libertarian nominee, is getting six-percent support, which otherwise would have probably gone to McCain. Also, InsiderAdvantage estimates that blacks will make up 29% of the electorate, up from 25% in 2004 exit polling
See also http://www.blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/06/20/georgia-on-his-mind.aspxCould Obama actually, you know, win Georgia? Believe it or not, it's possible--if not yet likely. Ultimately, his performance depends on the two B's: Bob Barr and black voters. A former four-term Republican congressman from the Atlanta suburbs, Barr's been a known quantity in Georgia for two decades; now, as the Libertarian Party's nominee for president, he's guaranteed to sap a sizable number of votes from McCain, who lost the state's February primary to Mike Huckabee and inspires little enthusiasm among its largely Evangelical Republican base.This will be a fun state to watch