Battleground State-North Carolina

[Yellowdogtexan]

This is a nice surprise http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/06/poll_suggests_obama_is_putting.phpBarack Obama's promise to make a play for North Carolina -- a state that has consistently voted Republican since 1980 -- might just have some potential to really pay off, a new poll from Rasmussen suggests.

The numbers: McCain 45%, Obama 43%, within the ±4% margin of error. This is consistent with other recent polls that have shown McCain with only a small lead here.

Another bad sign for McCain is that 54% of respondents said it's more important to bring the troops home form Iraq than it is to win the war, versus only 40% who think victory is more important than leaving -- a very bad finding for McCain in this traditionally red state.

[John Gault]

This is a nice surprise http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/06/poll_suggests_obama_is_putting.php

That state has been moving to the left becuase of the immigrants from the peoples state of California and cities in the NE for several years now.

But even with all of that and a vast advantage to any democrat and the recent wrap up of the nom by Obama, he is still behind in polls?

[Yellowdogtexan]

You are kidding. NC has been a red state and the Democrats did not even try to contest this state in 2000 or 2004 in any serious way. The fact that mc :cane may have to spend some real money in this state is justification enough.

If North Carolina is close, then Senator Obama will be picking up enough other states that this will be a fun election to watch.

[John Gault]

You are kidding. NC has been a red state and the Democrats did not even try to contest this state in 2000 or 2004 in any serious way. The fact that mc :cane may have to spend some real money in this state is justification enough.

If North Carolina is close, then Senator Obama will be picking up enough other states that this will be a fun election to watch.


If all that is true, how did Edwards get elected?

Your reaching here. NC has been contaminated by the large numbers of High tech lefties moving in from SF and the NE.

Very lame analysis.

[Yellowdogtexan]

Obama is still within the margin of error and has show a great deal of improvement compared to pas polls from this source http://www.jwpcivitasinstitute.org/media/press-releases/n-c-poll-mccain-leads-obama-45-41 – After solidifying the Democratic nomination for President, Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) has pulled to within four points of Republican nominee Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) in North Carolina according to the Civitas Institute’s June DecisionMaker poll results released today.

Among all voters, Sen. McCain leads Sen. Obama 45-41, a net pickup of one point over last month’s poll which had McCain leading 44-39. Libertarian Party nominee Bob Barr, included for the first time in this month’s poll, received two percent support. Twelve percent were undecided.

“Both Senator McCain and Senator Obama improved their numbers over last month by solidifying the support of their party’s base voters,” said Francis DeLuca, Executive Director of the Civitas Institute. “Obama increased his support among Democrats by five percent, while McCain increased his support among Republicans by three percent.”

Obama is still struggling to connect with white voters, garnering only 31% of their votes, although that is an improvement over May’s poll which had him at 27% among whites. Obama is receiving 87% of support of African-American voters.

Previous Civitas Poll results:
February – McCain 46, Obama 36
April – McCain 48, Obama 39
May – McCain 44, Obama 39